Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53003de666958c286e6eabde73fff2723fb3c999217bfa3f1b361a5de2858758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked Under | 48c | 850.68$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.22 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Over | 48c | 563.87$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.66 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 554.96$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.93 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 56c | 458.44$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.34 | 706 | 41.5%293 W · 413 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 61c | 350.56$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.3 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 57c | 236.14$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…db66backed Over | 49c | 181.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 181.61$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 63c | 180.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 42c | 175$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 42c | 137.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Over | 49c | 134.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 35c | 113.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 41c | 111.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…293fbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 41c | 99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7adb…221ebacked Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 45c | 59.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 22c | 59.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 42c | 56.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 304 | 45.7%139 W · 165 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Over | 49c | 51.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 22c | 47.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a9…d021backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed Over | 55c | 39.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Over | 49c | 35.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 51c | 32.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Over | 49c | 27.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 51c | 25.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 72c | 18.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)LYON won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonLYON won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.