Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Riverside Highlanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59c7748605ab20d393a95f67c69353069db51e3ee0550020918bb5106edf6c9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsof Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, UC Riverside Highlanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 5c | 2,608$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 80c | 1,621$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 20c | 1,561$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 19c | 999.4$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.89 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 77c | 499.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 23c | 447$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 20c | 352.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 21c | 99.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 20c | 93.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 22c | 60.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.