Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59dae5e90aca5a57e4001b460e9b3a75ffd92e4d95d3e530ea5b29e7d75e2d61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,201 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 40c | 1,912$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.12 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 53c | 1,671$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.17 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 771.27$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.76 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 40c | 571.64$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.54 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 38c | 526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 346.68$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.94 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 48c | 301$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Under | 54c | 163.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 26c | 154.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092e…c685backed Over | 56c | 153.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 139.84$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Over | 18c | 99.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 37.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 47c | 36.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 60c | 35.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Under | 55c | 33.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Under | 55c | 32.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Under | 80c | 30.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.