Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f7a38f7e4e4985ccc8ff76d354e5e3eb490df8027ef8bb0904e01b00027ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SaD Esportsof SaD Esports, NRG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed SaD Esports | 50c | 1,008$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.08 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG Academy | 50c | 950.99$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.43 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed NRG Academy | 80c | 125.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed NRG Academy | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed SaD Esports | 54c | 118.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SaD Esports | 49c | 118.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SaD Esports | 23c | 68.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NRG Academy | 55c | 28.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed SaD Esports | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed NRG Academy | 63c | 16.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America PlayoffsSaD Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.