Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Oceane Dodin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a3f3201745328022daaef1e3667a4c0535e645029942cc0fdd805aaab8480c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katie Volynetsof Katie Volynets, Oceane Dodin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Oceane Dodin | 20c | 23,637$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760.42 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oceane Dodin | 5c | 5,290$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.67 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…bfadbacked Oceane Dodin | 13c | 3,535$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…38c8backed Oceane Dodin | 4c | 3,351$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.22 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Oceane Dodin | 14c | 2,754$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…2eeebacked Oceane Dodin | 15c | 2,544$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Oceane Dodin | 3c | 2,272$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Oceane Dodin | 8c | 858.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Oceane Dodin | 6c | 743.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Oceane Dodin | 4c | 724.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Oceane Dodin | 7c | 618.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Oceane Dodin | 9c | 363.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Oceane Dodin | 4c | 330.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Oceane Dodin | 8c | 283.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…02fcbacked Katie Volynets | 80c | 241.36$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Oceane Dodin | 6c | 188.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Katie Volynets | 79c | 121$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Katie Volynets | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Oceane Dodin | 13c | 117.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…b44ebacked Oceane Dodin | 18c | 108.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Oceane Dodin | 20c | 72.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…5990backed Oceane Dodin | 19c | 53.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Oceane Dodinthis page
- Set Handicap: Volynets (-1.5) vs Dodin (+1.5)Dodin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.