Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b1d560d21f12348421be23b162c687afa6208ab29f00cf0b288565701a6e892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIA Challengersof Nongshim Esports Academy, Dplus KIA Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 68c | 7,422$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.3 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 32c | 4,316$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.25 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 71c | 3,449$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.9 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 69c | 1,999$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.12 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 31c | 1,997$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 32c | 1,718$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.77 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 33c | 1,443$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.75 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 28c | 1,220$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.05 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 31c | 989.08$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.8 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 28c | 978.1$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.09 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 68c | 413.69$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…3f96backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 33c | 162.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 69c | 141.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 32c | 116.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 68c | 115.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 30c | 71.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…82e8backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 68c | 51.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Dplus KIA Challengers | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 34c | 34.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 397 | 55.4%220 W · 177 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 67c | 16.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.