Tennis · resolved market
Bunschoten: Guy Den Ouden vs Denis Yevseyev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b36cc28d3fc7c814be2d69a82d16ea1f52127db96e8bd133e03dc443ee6589f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guy Den Oudenof Guy Den Ouden, Denis Yevseyev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Denis Yevseyev | 5c | 14,031$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Denis Yevseyev | 14c | 2,148$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.64 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guy Den Ouden | 72c | 1,114$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.33 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Denis Yevseyev | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Denis Yevseyev | 5c | 590.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Denis Yevseyev | 6c | 559.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Denis Yevseyev | 5c | 525$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Denis Yevseyev | 5c | 316.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9071…4bc1backed Denis Yevseyev | 15c | 280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Denis Yevseyev | 14c | 266.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Denis Yevseyev | 21c | 249.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Denis Yevseyev | 6c | 216.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Denis Yevseyev | 15c | 200.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Denis Yevseyev | 5c | 187.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Denis Yevseyev | 25c | 184.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Denis Yevseyev | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Denis Yevseyev | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Guy Den Ouden | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 82 | 82.9%68 W · 14 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.