Euroleague · resolved market
Monaco vs. Valencia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b83d9edcee22e81099f71995c667cabd06752c85087242173b90aee2b23f166
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monacoof Monaco, Valencia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Valencia | 28c | 661.82$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.28 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Monaco | 68c | 275.58$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…a81dbacked Valencia | 31c | 180.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ef…23f1backed Monaco | 72c | 170.12$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8a08backed Valencia | 32c | 169.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Valencia | 31c | 165$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…eaa3backed Monaco | 72c | 164.68$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…4128backed Monaco | 72c | 161.53$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…9f2bbacked Valencia | 32c | 153.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…ddcdbacked Monaco | 72c | 152.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…13b0backed Valencia | 31c | 142.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Monaco | 73c | 137.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Monaco | 69c | 48.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Monaco | 68c | 47.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Monaco | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Monaco | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Monaco | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Monaco | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…e45bbacked Monaco | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.