South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b846cfc62700e8d9819095275947f754a87fa990a0452780d65f86c6ce1424c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked No | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 50c | 1,244$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.27 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 1,061$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.67 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 586.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 580.5$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.41 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 50c | 461.33$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.67 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 47c | 195.36$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 138$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 74c | 135.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 46c | 121$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 46c | 54.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 44.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 41.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…2156backed No | 54c | 41.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Yes | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 72c | 30.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 53c | 27.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Yes | 71c | 14.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-30?this page
- Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-30?No won
- Will CA Tigre vs. América de Cali end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.