Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Malmö Men: John Hallquist Lithen vs Nino Ehrenschneider
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bbf6473d68a8f1d8fb15c13fa55c77652f8c5978475ae3c418ee5344878c30c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- John Hallquist Lithenof John Hallquist Lithen, Nino Ehrenschneider
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 22c | 3,400$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.71 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 21c | 1,732$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…d5c4backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 48c | 1,555$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.43 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked John Hallquist Lithen | 76c | 1,210$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed John Hallquist Lithen | 52c | 990.29$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked John Hallquist Lithen | 80c | 924$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed John Hallquist Lithen | 74c | 909.43$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed John Hallquist Lithen | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed John Hallquist Lithen | 78c | 521.11$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed John Hallquist Lithen | 71c | 360$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 44c | 167.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked John Hallquist Lithen | 78c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 20c | 76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e104backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x971e…19d9backed John Hallquist Lithen | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked John Hallquist Lithen | 79c | 19.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.