Premier League · resolved market
Stoke City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bd8c07574e77e49580dcaaa677075e0919f436cdb2550de7bc6efa8a80739d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 2,741$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 542$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 31c | 383.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Yes | 56c | 307.14$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 54c | 183$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 72c | 130$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 98.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 55c | 78.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 69c | 63.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 70c | 22.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked Yes | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stoke City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Stoke City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stoke City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stoke City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.