CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs HAVU (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5be570fd7ecf5f5e139927f00c5e4089b0d6e838f873b8327731101733990f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof Lazer Cats, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked HAVU | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU | 70c | 1,320$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.52 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Lazer Cats | 55c | 1,160$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.88 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed Lazer Cats | 42c | 890.4$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.84 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lazer Cats | 45c | 765.47$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.31 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Lazer Cats | 30c | 466.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HAVU | 61c | 459.64$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HAVU | 59c | 412.42$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lazer Cats | 33c | 208.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4c…b8fabacked Lazer Cats | 55c | 168.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HAVU | 63c | 161.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Lazer Cats | 31c | 131$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed HAVU | 33c | 112.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HAVU | 68c | 111.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Lazer Cats | 37c | 105.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Lazer Cats | 67c | 73.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed HAVU | 48c | 65.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lazer Cats | 34c | 54.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Lazer Cats | 22c | 54.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HAVU | 53c | 48.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HAVU | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Lazer Cats | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Lazer Cats | 40c | 36.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed HAVU | 70c | 34.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed HAVU | 77c | 30.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked HAVU | 75c | 29.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Lazer Cats | 62c | 18.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed HAVU | 76c | 15.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs HAVU (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerHAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.