Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Old Dominion Monarchs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c45c1f096256c5ad8733043c7c269ac48ecda04c558cc6ff5870dde7cf96566
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Appalachian State Mountaineersof Appalachian State Mountaineers, Old Dominion Monarchs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 7c | 1,617$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 79c | 1,567$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 22c | 1,516$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.42 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 75c | 480.54$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 55c | 282.73$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 55c | 247.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 47c | 229$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 34c | 194.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 45c | 139.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 55c | 93.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 66c | 88.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 65c | 85.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 38c | 82.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 34c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 53c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 55c | 58.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Old Dominion Monarchsthis page
- Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 136.5Over won
- Spread: Old Dominion Monarchs (-1.5)Appalachian State Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.