CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cbbf171d305ba02ca3c43c787244c86d1cccdfde0632605bf44002ab79bd195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,563 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked FUT Esports | 34c | 1,770$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.2 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked B8 | 66c | 1,722$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.33 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked FUT Esports | 33c | 887.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.62 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…a82cbacked FUT Esports | 35c | 692$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…1f7abacked FUT Esports | 35c | 552$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.17 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed B8 | 61c | 482.64$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.41 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed FUT Esports | 35c | 461$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.65 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked B8 | 66c | 454.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x432c…9ae1backed FUT Esports | 35c | 454$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e6…15b6backed FUT Esports | 35c | 439$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…46c5backed FUT Esports | 35c | 376$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388d…aa42backed FUT Esports | 35c | 370$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…0bc4backed FUT Esports | 36c | 367$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…c943backed B8 | 80c | 330$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…9012backed FUT Esports | 36c | 329$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…aa5bbacked FUT Esports | 36c | 319$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…2932backed FUT Esports | 35c | 314$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…f352backed B8 | 64c | 310$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…01a0backed B8 | 64c | 309$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…ec15backed B8 | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…31babacked FUT Esports | 36c | 281$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65e…6cfdbacked B8 | 65c | 273$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…9d6abacked B8 | 65c | 270$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…b60fbacked B8 | 64c | 267$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de4…b3afbacked B8 | 65c | 263$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked B8 | 78c | 254.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7a…5391backed FUT Esports | 36c | 253$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…3901backed B8 | 65c | 249$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…e7c4backed B8 | 65c | 246$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…c2a4backed B8 | 64c | 239$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a2…d57abacked B8 | 65c | 236$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b42…1b48backed B8 | 64c | 235$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…a38dbacked B8 | 64c | 234$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c46…97eebacked B8 | 64c | 232$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…0569backed B8 | 65c | 231$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…76babacked B8 | 65c | 230$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…aec6backed B8 | 64c | 228$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…6a1ebacked B8 | 65c | 222$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…7410backed FUT Esports | 35c | 219$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…9648backed FUT Esports | 36c | 216$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…7fc7backed B8 | 65c | 213$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…2242backed B8 | 65c | 212$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…1bcabacked B8 | 64c | 210$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…7043backed FUT Esports | 36c | 206$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…9f99backed B8 | 65c | 203$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…0003backed B8 | 65c | 197.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…f162backed FUT Esports | 36c | 196$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b4…01eabacked B8 | 65c | 195$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd405…20f2backed B8 | 65c | 188$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe181…cd0fbacked FUT Esports | 35c | 185$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…cc59backed B8 | 65c | 185$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b54…5fcfbacked B8 | 65c | 183$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…fc5abacked B8 | 64c | 182$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…4b7dbacked B8 | 65c | 181$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…9178backed FUT Esports | 35c | 170$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3720…280dbacked B8 | 65c | 169$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…1ab2backed B8 | 65c | 164$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…9b86backed B8 | 65c | 159$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…d2bfbacked FUT Esports | 35c | 157$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…a8c1backed B8 | 65c | 155$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…c741backed FUT Esports | 35c | 145$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…0f10backed FUT Esports | 35c | 143$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5845…c91fbacked FUT Esports | 35c | 141$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f4…9a7cbacked FUT Esports | 35c | 133$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked FUT Esports | 31c | 130.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked B8 | 63c | 121.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…d1cebacked FUT Esports | 35c | 114$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…b4c5backed FUT Esports | 35c | 104$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed B8 | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed B8 | 62c | 96.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FUT Esports | 26c | 65.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed B8 | 77c | 65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…d69dbacked B8 | 65c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…82efbacked FUT Esports | 36c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed FUT Esports | 38c | 46.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked FUT Esports | 34c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed B8 | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed FUT Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked B8 | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked B8 | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2FUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.