CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0145e374b805b21d6f37cd06a9ac64fa76eca2fb4e6ec764f5cef879dffaffcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,407 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 55c | 500$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.38 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 48c | 321.86$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.36 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 19c | 186.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 175.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 49c | 128.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 107.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…48e8backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 87.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Over | 50c | 52.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…0497backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 50c | 35.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 49c | 30.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Over | 50c | 30.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Over | 50c | 30.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Over | 50c | 30.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Over | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 63c | 20.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Over | 50c | 20.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Over | 50c | 20.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Over | 50c | 20.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Over | 50c | 20.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2FUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.