Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cd4b4783ae1d927239a66aa4ad06be6dbae0320b14303712e0276e53245759a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marist Red Foxesof Marist Red Foxes, Niagara Purple Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 47c | 2,425$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.56 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marist Red Foxes | 53c | 1,366$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Marist Red Foxes | 53c | 873.25$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.43 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 142.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Marist Red Foxes | 51c | 142.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Marist Red Foxes | 53c | 68.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Marist Red Foxes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marist Red Foxes | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-8.5)this page
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Niagara Purple EaglesMarist Red Foxes won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 129.5Under won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 130.5Under won
- Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-9.5)Marist Red Foxes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.