Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marist Red Foxes vs. Niagara Purple Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d6a9f906db231e6c89b0e2934af9beec2005d846c2e9e3431ae6ab594f2430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marist Red Foxesof Marist Red Foxes, Niagara Purple Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Marist Red Foxes | 72c | 1,125$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.64 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 27c | 1,110$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.81 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 33c | 897.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 8c | 877.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marist Red Foxes | 73c | 847.13$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marist Red Foxes | 67c | 624.03$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.41 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 18c | 358.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marist Red Foxes | 75c | 351.54$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 12c | 237.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 24c | 225$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 24c | 186.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 25c | 158.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 20c | 155.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 30c | 152.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 17c | 109.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 27c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 18c | 102.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 14c | 91.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 20c | 89.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 32c | 72.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Marist Red Foxes | 76c | 67.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 20c | 64.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Marist Red Foxes | 72c | 57.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 19c | 54.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…50d9backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Marist Red Foxes | 80c | 34.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Marist Red Foxes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf264…9e0fbacked Marist Red Foxes | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Marist Red Foxes | 80c | 20.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesthis page
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 129.5Under won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 130.5Under won
- Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-8.5)Marist Red Foxes won
- Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-9.5)Marist Red Foxes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.