Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos: Michael Geerts vs Tiago Pereira
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ce21c181272e18af0ed59da0cb5b92d14e6f3a2ca56d9eec75aa633b3b15adc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Geertsof Michael Geerts, Tiago Pereira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tiago Pereira | 19c | 4,976$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Michael Geerts | 80c | 4,869$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.82 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Michael Geerts | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.19 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Michael Geerts | 78c | 1,825$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.1 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Tiago Pereira | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tiago Pereira | 7c | 1,554$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Michael Geerts | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Michael Geerts | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tiago Pereira | 30c | 894.74$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.41 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Tiago Pereira | 28c | 871$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tiago Pereira | 20c | 684.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Tiago Pereira | 40c | 668.08$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Michael Geerts | 62c | 662.71$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.71 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Tiago Pereira | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tiago Pereira | 40c | 448.46$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Michael Geerts | 72c | 423.71$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Tiago Pereira | 15c | 391$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tiago Pereira | 40c | 328.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Tiago Pereira | 16c | 310$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Tiago Pereira | 17c | 277$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tiago Pereira | 31c | 263.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tiago Pereira | 23c | 240$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tiago Pereira | 40c | 236.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Michael Geerts | 65c | 184.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…0c89backed Tiago Pereira | 13c | 182.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Michael Geerts | 60c | 126.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Michael Geerts | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tiago Pereira | 40c | 102.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Michael Geerts | 60c | 91.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Michael Geerts | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tiago Pereira | 37c | 79.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…6481backed Tiago Pereira | 34c | 77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 132 | 22%29 W · 103 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tiago Pereira | 17c | 75.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Tiago Pereira | 28c | 73.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tiago Pereira | 36c | 72.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Michael Geerts | 63c | 63.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Michael Geerts | 62c | 60.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Tiago Pereira | 22c | 59.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Tiago Pereira | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tiago Pereira | 29c | 47.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Michael Geerts | 71c | 43.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Michael Geerts | 75c | 41.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Michael Geerts | 59c | 41.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Michael Geerts | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Michael Geerts | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Michael Geerts | 59c | 37.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Michael Geerts | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…44c4backed Tiago Pereira | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.