NFL · resolved market
Will the Saints and Giants combine for 47 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d097e37a735d7eb050c86df2b6879ba6f7ef7b35e2dba8a90b614936d69e680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Over | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Under | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Under | 58c | 482.75$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Over | 45c | 220.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…da3cbacked Under | 53c | 170.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Over | 33c | 61.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Saints and Giants combine for 47 or more points?this page
- Will the 49ers and Bears combine for 45 or more points?Over won
- Will the Buccaneers and Raiders combine for 47 or more points?Under won
- Will the Cardinals and Seahawks combine for 45 or more points?Over won
- Will the Chiefs and Chargers combine for 44 or more points?Under won
- Will the Dolphins and Jets combine for 45 or more points?Over won
- Will the Steelers and Browns combine for 44 or more points?Under won
- Will the Vikings and Falcons combine for 46 or more points?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.