Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
William & Mary Tribe vs. Duquesne Dukes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e208b2bc6ca3316a37632d960eae97abdbe7e4802970bdbd530498dc37c5dac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- William & Mary Tribeof William & Mary Tribe, Duquesne Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed William & Mary Tribe | 32c | 3,187$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duquesne Dukes | 68c | 2,619$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked William & Mary Tribe | 51c | 2,033$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked William & Mary Tribe | 70c | 1,827$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.28 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Duquesne Dukes | 48c | 1,675$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.73 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Duquesne Dukes | 69c | 1,360$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.66 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 63c | 1,327$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.88 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Duquesne Dukes | 70c | 854$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.8 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed William & Mary Tribe | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 43c | 595$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.96 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Duquesne Dukes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked William & Mary Tribe | 30c | 329.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.65 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked William & Mary Tribe | 69c | 229$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked William & Mary Tribe | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Duquesne Dukes | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked William & Mary Tribe | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…061cbacked William & Mary Tribe | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Duquesne Dukes | 21c | 99.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 28c | 95.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed William & Mary Tribe | 56c | 92.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed William & Mary Tribe | 28c | 71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Duquesne Dukes | 72c | 68.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Duquesne Dukes | 64c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…522bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Duquesne Dukes | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Duquesne Dukes | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…c27cbacked Duquesne Dukes | 69c | 36.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…f55fbacked William & Mary Tribe | 33c | 34.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…1734backed Duquesne Dukes | 69c | 31.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Duquesne Dukes | 65c | 29.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95bdbacked Duquesne Dukes | 69c | 23.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.