South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e578cae7a1f4066b2540902530ed57edd26467f46450dd7e9707bf807516112
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 3,686$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.87 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 32c | 3,616$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 2,131$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.55 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 28c | 1,250$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.71 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 1,174$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.74 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 37c | 837.84$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 705$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.61 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 39c | 641.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 496.85$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 77c | 490$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 38c | 266.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…93bcbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 198.03$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 37c | 170.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 38c | 158.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 137.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 66c | 115.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 39c | 101.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 85.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…6badbacked Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 59.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 46.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…8e67backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 26.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked No | 63c | 17.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 75c | 17.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.