CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ea24eea3447d6f28bc1d4d87e52071f2d4fe96027a8b1b6fea97b1299fac769
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Mindfreak, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mindfreak | 49c | 1,687$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.61 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Ground Zero | 31c | 1,045$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.38 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Ground Zero | 55c | 663.59$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.62 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Mindfreak | 33c | 368.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ground Zero | 58c | 275.2$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…e89dbacked Mindfreak | 57c | 261.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Ground Zero | 47c | 213.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Mindfreak | 21c | 180$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Mindfreak | 54c | 148.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Ground Zero | 44c | 114.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Ground Zero | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Mindfreak | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ground Zero | 59c | 88.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Ground Zero | 50c | 76.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Mindfreak | 41c | 75.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed Ground Zero | 49c | 71.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mindfreak | 50c | 59.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Mindfreak | 55c | 55.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ground Zero | 41c | 45.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Mindfreak | 30c | 43.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Mindfreak | 49c | 40.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb805…c2c3backed Mindfreak | 61c | 34.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…2c02backed Mindfreak | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Mindfreak | 47c | 32.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Ground Zero | 44c | 27.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Mindfreak | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf461…310ebacked Mindfreak | 59c | 25.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Ground Zero | 53c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mindfreak | 73c | 18.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Mindfreak (+1.5)Mindfreak won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.