College Football · resolved market
Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f3a3e9c315b8ecfcc7d61bb3472eb102bdd32a15796c0faf91532e17c8df6dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middle Tennesseeof Delaware Blue Hens, Middle Tennessee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Delaware Blue Hens | 53c | 62,000$32,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,958 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Middle Tennessee | 47c | 20,372$9,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,797.31 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Middle Tennessee | 47c | 19,370$9,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,333.4 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Middle Tennessee | 47c | 10,981$5,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,845.25 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Delaware Blue Hens | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Middle Tennessee | 48c | 6,373$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.97 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Middle Tennessee | 47c | 4,866$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.97 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Middle Tennessee | 47c | 2,062$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.65 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Middle Tennessee | 47c | 1,539$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.46 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…814fbacked Middle Tennessee | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Middle Tennessee | 47c | 957.45$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.45 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Middle Tennessee | 47c | 903.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.32 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Middle Tennessee | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…530ebacked Delaware Blue Hens | 53c | 453$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.09 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Middle Tennessee | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Middle Tennessee | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Middle Tennessee | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Delaware Blue Hens | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Middle Tennessee | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked Middle Tennessee | 48c | 31.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-8.5)this page
- Middle Tennessee vs. Delaware Blue HensDelaware Blue Hens won
- Middle Tennessee vs. Delaware Blue Hens: O/U 55.5Over won
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-9.5)Middle Tennessee won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.