CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fa18c9abae7752e6103ce333db9a02d410d356ed8a28603b16f2e6e4b012ce4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MIBR | 29c | 10,817$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680.14 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 71c | 9,033$6,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,412.61 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed K27 | 71c | 857.14$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.57 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed K27 | 71c | 571.42$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.71 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed K27 | 70c | 233.02$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed MIBR | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed K27 | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MIBR | 30c | 84.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked K27 | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed K27 | 71c | 59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 240 | 65.4%157 W · 83 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…6700backed MIBR | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed MIBR | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed MIBR | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 220 | 60.9%134 W · 86 L | +16.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed K27 | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…5645backed K27 | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked K27 | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed K27 | 71c | 33.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked K27 | 71c | 25.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f9…3b9cbacked MIBR | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs K27 (+3.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.