Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fa22dfe623196a29075acff64a1ccebd117257e9850d5f3752d07e9c0cfda27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 0c | 7,339$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…7961backed Over | 51c | 3,777$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Under | 49c | 3,777$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Over | 52c | 2,236$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Under | 48c | 2,236$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 48c | 499.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 281.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.53 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2c…f983backed Under | 74c | 243.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.38 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…299bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 56c | 169.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Over | 56c | 143$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 51c | 124.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Over | 53c | 101.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 394 | 51%201 W · 193 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed Over | 52c | 96.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 40c | 54.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Over | 53c | 51.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…d83bbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Under | 43c | 48.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Over | 52c | 29.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 50c | 25.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.