Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fb204c03378f4d6795f835959497847735832b40bdd97e5c2f3864ae86cd9bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 49c | 19,132$9,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,336.45 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…db02backed Over | 51c | 7,106$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Over | 51c | 3,884$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 51c | 2,901$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.57 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Under | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.67 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…7c9bbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 1,287$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.21 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 1,216$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 902.13$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.13 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 644.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 478.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Over | 49c | 442.96$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 424.01$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.6 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 10c | 250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 49c | 235.42$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 44c | 207$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 199$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 56c | 195$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Over | 72c | 189.38$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 83.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 65.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 51c | 48.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 48.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 51c | 44.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 51c | 38.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 51c | 36.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Under | 51c | 36.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 51c | 34.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 76c | 28.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 27.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 49c | 24.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 23.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 51c | 23.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 52c | 22.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 51c | 22.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Under | 50c | 20.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5this page
- PSV vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)PSV won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.