Tennis · resolved market
Austin: Donna Vekic vs Petra Marcinko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ff4befa62dd92ef883d795148e4dedeb02ca3225e0c49606cbc1c04f0a55989
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donna Vekicof Donna Vekic, Petra Marcinko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,291 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Petra Marcinko | 26c | 6,010$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.42 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Donna Vekic | 74c | 5,602$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Donna Vekic | 65c | 2,950$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.24 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Petra Marcinko | 13c | 2,946$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.52 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Petra Marcinko | 13c | 1,101$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Petra Marcinko | 35c | 1,010$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.26 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Petra Marcinko | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Petra Marcinko | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…3c12backed Petra Marcinko | 11c | 599.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Petra Marcinko | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Donna Vekic | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Petra Marcinko | 34c | 434.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…f4cabacked Petra Marcinko | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Petra Marcinko | 34c | 413.34$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Donna Vekic | 65c | 394.82$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.99 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Petra Marcinko | 14c | 316.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Petra Marcinko | 36c | 314.63$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Petra Marcinko | 31c | 307.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Petra Marcinko | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Petra Marcinko | 35c | 199.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Donna Vekic | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Donna Vekic | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Donna Vekic | 68c | 110.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Petra Marcinko | 13c | 107.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Donna Vekic | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Petra Marcinko | 31c | 91.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Petra Marcinko | 35c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Petra Marcinko | 26c | 82.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Petra Marcinko | 31c | 76.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…ed79backed Petra Marcinko | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Petra Marcinko | 35c | 60.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Petra Marcinko | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Donna Vekic | 64c | 52.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Petra Marcinko | 33c | 51.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Donna Vekic | 65c | 48.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Petra Marcinko | 35c | 41.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…6dbcbacked Petra Marcinko | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Petra Marcinko | 35c | 33.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Petra Marcinko | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Donna Vekic | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Donna Vekic | 64c | 27.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…35d8backed Donna Vekic | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…6886backed Donna Vekic | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Donna Vekic | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b1…c5c4backed Donna Vekic | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8671…07b0backed Donna Vekic | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Donna Vekic | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.