Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wetzlar: Deney Wassermann vs Yannik Kelm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60bc989bcb70274e3e24e9557dfa229c393a9ef9cf9ff0f9941486c0016d13b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yannik Kelmof Deney Wassermann, Yannik Kelm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Deney Wassermann | 16c | 4,437$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.79 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Deney Wassermann | 25c | 1,682$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.26 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Deney Wassermann | 25c | 648$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Deney Wassermann | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Yannik Kelm | 77c | 489.43$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Yannik Kelm | 75c | 442$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Deney Wassermann | 25c | 340$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yannik Kelm | 78c | 330.44$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Yannik Kelm | 76c | 304.63$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Yannik Kelm | 75c | 257.41$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Deney Wassermann | 23c | 231.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Deney Wassermann | 25c | 212$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Deney Wassermann | 23c | 199.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yannik Kelm | 77c | 198.87$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Deney Wassermann | 23c | 194.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yannik Kelm | 78c | 189.82$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Deney Wassermann | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Deney Wassermann | 25c | 114.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yannik Kelm | 78c | 91.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Deney Wassermann | 26c | 89.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Deney Wassermann | 22c | 85.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Deney Wassermann | 25c | 85.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Deney Wassermann | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Deney Wassermann | 16c | 73.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Yannik Kelm | 80c | 62.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Deney Wassermann | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Deney Wassermann | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Deney Wassermann | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Yannik Kelm | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yannik Kelm | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yannik Kelm | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.