Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs enjoy boys (BO3) - Tennisi Stampede Champions Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60f76970b37becf2d11d6829a7a22a5b2c2e304ea9252cc991b205201f4a0586
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Spirit Academy, enjoy boys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,517 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed enjoy boys | 39c | 999.96$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 474.11$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.04 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Spirit Academy | 69c | 317.8$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed enjoy boys | 46c | 283.84$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 236.23$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit Academy | 65c | 155.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked enjoy boys | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked enjoy boys | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Spirit Academy | 29c | 123.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 107.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Spirit Academy | 46c | 105.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…ccd1backed enjoy boys | 15c | 101.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed enjoy boys | 43c | 89.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Spirit Academy | 30c | 81.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ce…286abacked Spirit Academy | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Spirit Academy | 52c | 66.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked enjoy boys | 23c | 47.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked enjoy boys | 22c | 45.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Spirit Academy | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Spirit Academy | 56c | 21.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Spirit Academy | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.