Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x612c1d5b3aeb8a55c81d62e7751f7d4289e564c93358e0925b965d9f9eed4ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 74c | 503.57$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.88 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 240.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 79c | 181.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Over | 24c | 166.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe972…8004backed Over | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 38c | 104.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 75c | 78.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 37c | 75.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 62c | 73.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 68c | 53.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 73c | 48.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Under | 80c | 47.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 26.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 60c | 17.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5this page
- Haiti vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Haiti vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Tunisia won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.