TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
AM Gamingof AM Gaming, ex-RUBY
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,717 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked AM Gaming63c267.19$167 inWon+$100.0163157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked AM Gaming59c258.87$153 inWon+$105.974,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed ex-RUBY39c255.28$100 inLost-$99.5655738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2752…2fc2backed ex-RUBY31c204.58$63 inLost-$63.27520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked ex-RUBY43c203$87 inLost-$87.2131845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed ex-RUBY26c171$45 inLost-$45.081,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed AM Gaming48c135.42$65 inWon+$70.4242757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed AM Gaming48c103.66$50 inWon+$53.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked AM Gaming54c101.25$55 inWon+$46.251,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ex-RUBY45c50$23 inLost-$22.53,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked AM Gaming66c48.33$32 inWon+$16.364,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c4…9991backed AM Gaming54c37.29$20 inWon+$17.2912155.4%67 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2280…31cbbacked AM Gaming55c32.73$18 inWon+$14.735151%26 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed ex-RUBY49c25.51$12 inLost-$12.514751%75 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed AM Gaming63c17.91$11 inWon+$6.661,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.