Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x618c8f7a19453906e5073239243ad5926ba2c3ef8fa599ccc52196e5743dfa5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Team Lynx, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Lynx | 38c | 340.54$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 300.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 287.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Lynx | 61c | 284.76$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Lynx | 32c | 265.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 223$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +86%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Lynx | 33c | 178.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a6…149ebacked Team Lynx | 78c | 165.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 142.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 113$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 109.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Team Lynx | 45c | 105.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 102$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Team Lynx | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Lynx | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Team Lynx | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe912…3451backed Team Lynx | 38c | 78.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 49.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Team Lynx | 39c | 47.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Lynx | 32c | 44.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Team Lynx | 32c | 42.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 39.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 29.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Team Lynx | 76c | 26.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7731…fbadbacked Team Lynx | 76c | 26.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 24.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Team Lynx | 76c | 19.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.