Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Lorenzo Giustino vs Kyrian Jacquet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ce6045cdefc28acb586616306631d16e2ae6f251884f22117e36d35ff00842
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kyrian Jacquetof Lorenzo Giustino, Kyrian Jacquet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Lorenzo Giustino | 27c | 1,280$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Kyrian Jacquet | 73c | 1,166$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.69 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 14c | 682$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 22c | 528.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lorenzo Giustino | 28c | 470.04$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 298.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kyrian Jacquet | 70c | 250.04$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kyrian Jacquet | 72c | 198.57$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lorenzo Giustino | 22c | 192.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Lorenzo Giustino | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kyrian Jacquet | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lorenzo Giustino | 28c | 131$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Kyrian Jacquet | 75c | 109.06$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Kyrian Jacquet | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Lorenzo Giustino | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Kyrian Jacquet | 75c | 83.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 15c | 79.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Kyrian Jacquet | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kyrian Jacquet | 73c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 28c | 47.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Lorenzo Giustino | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kyrian Jacquet | 72c | 42.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Kyrian Jacquet | 74c | 35.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Kyrian Jacquet | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Kyrian Jacquet | 73c | 20.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 289 | 58.1%168 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Kyrian Jacquet | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Kyrian Jacquet | 73c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.