Tennis · resolved market
Pune: Tsung-Hao Huang vs Oliver Crawford
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61fd6248426a054849fa712ad5ca431e7d48a32419160229e6c9c8bcaef43648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crawfordof Huang, Crawford
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Huang | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Crawford | 68c | 3,025$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.97 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Huang | 18c | 1,697$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.51 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Huang | 14c | 1,108$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Huang | 40c | 1,006$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Huang | 5c | 883.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Huang | 13c | 492.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Huang | 21c | 483.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Huang | 13c | 374.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Crawford | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Huang | 23c | 299.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Huang | 14c | 195.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Huang | 29c | 155.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Crawford | 71c | 155.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Huang | 15c | 148.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Huang | 23c | 130.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Crawford | 80c | 128.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Crawford | 78c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Huang | 41c | 75.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…125ebacked Crawford | 72c | 75.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Crawford | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Huang | 24c | 71.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Crawford | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Huang | 17c | 58.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Crawford | 78c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Crawford | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.