Fifa International · resolved market
Concacaf Gold Cup: Canada vs. Guatemala (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x620559c8aff68ca427625582cfedbeb26550a186ac8cf4d37e96d6d76d311612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guatemalaof Canada , Guatemala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guatemala | 12c | 12,623$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,106.92 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Guatemala | 17c | 4,050$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.85 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Guatemala | 17c | 2,471$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +285%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Guatemala | 15c | 1,799$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.02 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Guatemala | 13c | 1,724$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.86 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Guatemala | 11c | 1,427$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.08 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Guatemala | 16c | 1,332$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.33 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Guatemala | 12c | 1,197$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.17 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guatemala | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Guatemala | 16c | 616.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Guatemala | 12c | 542.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.33 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guatemala | 11c | 453.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.33 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Guatemala | 10c | 400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Guatemala | 15c | 399.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.17 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Guatemala | 11c | 365.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.84 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guatemala | 16c | 357$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.74 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Guatemala | 9c | 316.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.86 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Guatemala | 20c | 255.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guatemala | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guatemala | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Guatemala | 13c | 188.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Guatemala | 23c | 183.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Guatemala | 12c | 126.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Guatemala | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Guatemala | 14c | 119.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a9a8backed Guatemala | 15c | 108.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…1b31backed Guatemala | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Guatemala | 16c | 94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Guatemala | 16c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc32d…806ebacked Guatemala | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Guatemala | 18c | 57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Canada | 55c | 23.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.