Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x620a9b9dab6b9dcfc9258d60751334ea461cc66684e4219748560ae7ba5285ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 50c | 20,006$10,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,003.21 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 50c | 8,727$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,363.71 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a84…8606backed Over | 50c | 6,393$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 50c | 3,294$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.86 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 1,114$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.86 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 50c | 820$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 50c | 580$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…12e2backed Over | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)SK Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 WinnerSK Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.