CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62470f9cfc76cd44eca049e984c6b53925e9ae8858536c1413307882ed74e9ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECHOof Sharks, ECHO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Sharks | 42c | 2,000$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.67 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed ECHO | 58c | 1,139$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.47 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked ECHO | 61c | 1,084$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Sharks | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.49 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Sharks | 38c | 580$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Sharks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Sharks | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 121 | 18.2%22 W · 99 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked ECHO | 62c | 475.81$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.81 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ECHO | 62c | 380.36$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Sharks | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ECHO | 56c | 290.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.91 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Sharks | 38c | 270$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 267 | 46.4%124 W · 143 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Sharks | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 268 | 54.5%146 W · 122 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed ECHO | 60c | 230.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed ECHO | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked ECHO | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked Sharks | 38c | 168.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…6454backed ECHO | 72c | 158.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed Sharks | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ECHO | 63c | 148.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ECHO | 61c | 128.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…db1dbacked Sharks | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ECHO | 76c | 91.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed ECHO | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed ECHO | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed ECHO | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed ECHO | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked ECHO | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed Sharks | 41c | 79.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…0c9bbacked ECHO | 66c | 75.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Sharks | 43c | 62.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…4807backed ECHO | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ECHO | 58c | 55.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed ECHO | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed ECHO | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…e324backed ECHO | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed ECHO | 58c | 41.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sharks | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed ECHO | 59c | 38.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Sharks | 54c | 36.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed ECHO | 57c | 33.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed ECHO | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 243 | 63%153 W · 90 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed ECHO | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ECHO | 76c | 15.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN PlayoffsECHO won
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO - Map 1 WinnerECHO won
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO - Map 2 WinnerSharks won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ECHO (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.