Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Eastern Washington Eagles (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x627e70d8497a7eacb4bdb1eaeb5810681e02a404145af7f5a89afb272b8d843c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Idaho Vandalsof Eastern Washington Eagles, Idaho Vandals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Idaho Vandals | 55c | 45,787$25,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,627.5 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 45c | 45,020$20,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,258.78 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 0c | 10,021$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Idaho Vandals | 55c | 9,006$4,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 45c | 7,165$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 45c | 911.29$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 45c | 887.29$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.65 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 47c | 719.3$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.43 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 46c | 284.91$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Idaho Vandals | 56c | 222.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Idaho Vandals | 52c | 148.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Idaho Vandals | 52c | 136.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 48c | 125.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 47c | 106.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 49c | 102.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 46c | 50.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 46c | 42.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 47c | 32.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Idaho Vandals | 54c | 19.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Idaho Vandals | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eastern Washington Eagles (-3.5)this page
- Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington EaglesIdaho Vandals won
- Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eagles: O/U 149.5Over won
- Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eagles: O/U 150.5Over won
- Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eagles: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.