CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Banger Gang (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62aa4f03c18c31f964cff5934731503dbef28f68b02a35102b79c768eb2a2a0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEW VISIONof NEW VISION, Banger Gang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked NEW VISION | 69c | 2,472$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.47 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Banger Gang | 31c | 900$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Banger Gang | 31c | 637$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed NEW VISION | 69c | 428.25$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Banger Gang | 30c | 416$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NEW VISION | 71c | 364.1$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Banger Gang | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Banger Gang | 31c | 297.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Banger Gang | 33c | 277$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Banger Gang | 15c | 230.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Banger Gang | 31c | 219.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Banger Gang | 10c | 203.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Banger Gang | 29c | 196.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Banger Gang | 29c | 151.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed NEW VISION | 67c | 148.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Banger Gang | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Banger Gang | 31c | 98.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Banger Gang | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked NEW VISION | 69c | 68.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Banger Gang | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b6…b953backed NEW VISION | 71c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Banger Gang | 31c | 49.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Banger Gang | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked NEW VISION | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NEW VISION | 71c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Banger Gang (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Banger Gang - Map 2 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Banger Gang (+1.5)NEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.