Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b0f2be5cfaf2d75a58e8c77ad7f655feef546da57364a1c8ebd416c95432cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Famalicãoof FC Porto, FC Famalicão
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed FC Porto | 38c | 3,270$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.53 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Famalicão | 78c | 2,715$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC Famalicão | 56c | 1,713$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.91 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed FC Famalicão | 69c | 1,498$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.38 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed FC Porto | 9c | 1,218$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Porto | 34c | 751.14$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.13 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed FC Porto | 40c | 359.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.18 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked FC Famalicão | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked FC Porto | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…00d5backed FC Porto | 6c | 301.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…3875backed FC Porto | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked FC Famalicão | 60c | 175.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Porto | 38c | 136.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Porto | 17c | 114.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked FC Porto | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked FC Porto | 41c | 94.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Porto | 38c | 58.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…d21fbacked FC Famalicão | 56c | 53.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FC Famalicão | 61c | 47.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed FC Porto | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed FC Famalicão | 63c | 39.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…0662backed FC Porto | 41c | 34.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 52cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked FC Porto | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed FC Porto | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked FC Famalicão | 60c | 29.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed FC Famalicão | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed FC Famalicão | 61c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked FC Famalicão | 61c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)this page
- FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-2.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.