NFL · resolved market
Scorigami in NFL Week 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b55dd5bacf85d917665fac4ac2887ce2c1e9b9b76d4b48b8eeeb5be88c3cd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 26c | 2,802$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.31 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked No | 74c | 1,013$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.18 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…a022backed No | 75c | 1,005$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6482…f8b6backed No | 71c | 985$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…3143backed Yes | 26c | 800.47$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 25c | 405$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +294.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda62…a9a6backed No | 74c | 243.96$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed No | 71c | 215.88$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 25c | 111$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885b…1fe5backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…d431backed No | 75c | 53.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…906fbacked Yes | 28c | 49.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcaf…07c2backed No | 74c | 45.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5121…fa94backed No | 72c | 41.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934d…1e11backed No | 79c | 31.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e6…884abacked No | 73c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.