Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-03-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6341becb00daaf5006ea0a69cac70d11bd278167548d8ab8f4e8a3de238556d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,993 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 8,597$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 8c | 6,247$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed No | 10c | 5,004$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 11c | 1,857$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 8c | 1,251$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 2c | 964.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 10c | 923.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 8c | 885.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 7c | 859.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 13c | 809.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 9c | 767.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 10c | 440.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 6c | 412.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…f51ebacked No | 3c | 385.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 6c | 355.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 10c | 142.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed No | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 8c | 128.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 23cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 10c | 121.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 12c | 87.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-03-05?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-03-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.