Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6345f2a71bb8a9fb418074c7459ffd8651eca8c05dc4217c769587440e6d9a24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Miss Golden Eaglesof South Alabama Jaguars, Southern Miss Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 56c | 2,316$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.14 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 1,272$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.65 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed South Alabama Jaguars | 51c | 981.44$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.39 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 49c | 568.1$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 466.74$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 225.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 42c | 143.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 50c | 133.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d5a7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 50c | 132.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 112.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 112.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 54c | 104.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 46c | 103.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 49c | 91.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 80.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 57c | 43.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed South Alabama Jaguars | 44c | 40.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-5.5)this page
- Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. South Alabama JaguarsSouthern Miss Golden Eagles won
- Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-4.5)Southern Miss Golden Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.