CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs SkinRave (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6375d4b2977470e5db3bfb958cdfd2c9bd59de77b8ee5fc6090e4a806b4d68de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, SkinRave
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 65c | 978.78$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked SkinRave | 35c | 799.97$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.99 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked M80 | 40c | 484.28$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.57 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed SkinRave | 57c | 407.93$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SkinRave | 23c | 367.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked M80 | 72c | 315$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked SkinRave | 35c | 249.23$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked SkinRave | 25c | 244.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SkinRave | 30c | 211.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed SkinRave | 54c | 164.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed SkinRave | 48c | 156.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…0d11backed M80 | 74c | 145.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked M80 | 52c | 137.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed SkinRave | 45c | 134.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed SkinRave | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M80 | 74c | 121.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed M80 | 62c | 120.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 58c | 110.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked M80 | 76c | 106.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked M80 | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked M80 | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked SkinRave | 36c | 92.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed SkinRave | 25c | 89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed SkinRave | 30c | 84.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked M80 | 62c | 84.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SkinRave | 38c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked M80 | 57c | 80.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed SkinRave | 43c | 70.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked M80 | 74c | 69.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed M80 | 55c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdf…f7d1backed SkinRave | 17c | 64.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked SkinRave | 48c | 58.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed SkinRave | 31c | 55.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…85c8backed M80 | 73c | 44.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked M80 | 51c | 41.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked M80 | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…5a3dbacked M80 | 79c | 37.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed SkinRave | 42c | 36.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed SkinRave | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25a6…1d51backed SkinRave | 55c | 27.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked M80 | 46c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…e252backed SkinRave | 46c | 25.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…f5e7backed M80 | 69c | 23.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed M80 | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs SkinRave (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs SkinRave - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.