Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Victoria Milovanova vs Kisa Yoshioka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x637a6204730073862f81c1db5c7af024dbdf893e9f65bf9ce2c5e0e462578ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kisa Yoshiokaof Victoria Milovanova, Kisa Yoshioka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Victoria Milovanova | 32c | 6,125$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.76 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kisa Yoshioka | 65c | 3,523$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kisa Yoshioka | 68c | 1,452$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.03 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Kisa Yoshioka | 65c | 988.27$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.45 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Kisa Yoshioka | 69c | 466.96$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Kisa Yoshioka | 75c | 259.94$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kisa Yoshioka | 75c | 200.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…1248backed Victoria Milovanova | 45c | 198$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Victoria Milovanova | 32c | 189.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…0bb4backed Victoria Milovanova | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Kisa Yoshioka | 22c | 128.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Kisa Yoshioka | 70c | 126.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Kisa Yoshioka | 69c | 115.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Kisa Yoshioka | 55c | 101.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…0a1bbacked Victoria Milovanova | 79c | 94.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Victoria Milovanova | 77c | 61.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kisa Yoshioka | 53c | 60.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kisa Yoshioka | 22c | 60.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kisa Yoshioka | 72c | 56.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Kisa Yoshioka | 59c | 55.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Victoria Milovanova | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kisa Yoshioka | 23c | 44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Victoria Milovanova | 64c | 40.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Kisa Yoshioka | 75c | 32.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Victoria Milovanova | 61c | 31.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Victoria Milovanova | 78c | 31.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Kisa Yoshioka | 75c | 21.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed Kisa Yoshioka | 65c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Victoria Milovanova | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Victoria Milovanova | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Astana: Victoria Milovanova vs Kisa Yoshiokathis page
- ITF Women Astana: Completed Match: Victoria Milovanova vs Kisa YoshiokaYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.