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Lol · resolved market

LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendasof KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas, Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,044 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d85…f4e0backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy39c831.63$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9765347.3%309 W · 344 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas61c755$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.784960.8%516 W · 333 L+45.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy35c286.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4b7…bc65backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy35c284.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83af…4084backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas62c284.15$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10928350.5%143 W · 140 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b3…a28dbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas79c253.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2518065%117 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy34c210$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.427254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy11c158.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.031,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb07f…d473backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy68c156.31$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.29862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas32c142.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2317042.9%73 W · 97 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy43c110$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.367056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431,89339.8%754 W · 1,139 L-68.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d32…b538backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy31c94.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas55c68.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.711851.7%61 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy19c65.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.471,31845.4%598 W · 720 L+52.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy38c58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.961,68347%791 W · 892 L-24.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas61c54.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4274462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8772…982dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy39c44.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas60c40.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0722955.5%127 W · 102 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas79c39.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.347444.6%33 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy45c34.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3938640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy45c34.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.313,06644.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L-97.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…ced8backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.732371.2%230 W · 93 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas55c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9919454.6%106 W · 88 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.