Lol · resolved market
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2be9a0460cbc5cdfbe312d1afcc8a9a8b125e73614662577c576b8ffff8dcb29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vivo Keyd Stars Academyof KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas, Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 59c | 1,318$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.63 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 58c | 824.63$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.01 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 41c | 573.61$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.43 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 39c | 553.41$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.18 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 6c | 392$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…8c55backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 49c | 333.45$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 3c | 315.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 4c | 296.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 6c | 292.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 40c | 290$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 59c | 252.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 404 | 46%186 W · 218 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 46c | 219.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…e55ebacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 59c | 183.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…449abacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 29c | 133$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 59c | 103.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 51c | 90.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 78c | 63.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d32…b538backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 71c | 53.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 62c | 28.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 61c | 27.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6933…7ea3backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 57c | 19.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (+1.5)Vivo Keyd Stars Academy won
- LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffsVivo Keyd Stars Academy won
- LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 WinnerKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas won
- LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 3 WinnerKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas won
- LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 4 WinnerVivo Keyd Stars Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.