Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: DFM (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63f3f7f79cebf1e119b0b5eed4872b9ace3109a0f2f3af383fb89e0cf3026b0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DetonatioN FocusMeof DetonatioN FocusMe, Team Secret
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Secret | 64c | 599.94$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.96 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 36c | 189.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 36c | 181.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 189 | 40.7%77 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Secret | 64c | 176.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 364 | 46.2%168 W · 196 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 36c | 119.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 36c | 119.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 35c | 52.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Secret | 65c | 52.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 35c | 33.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Team Secret | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Secret | 62c | 17.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: DFM (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DetonatioN FocusMe (-2.5) vs Team Secret (+2.5)DetonatioN FocusMe won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaDetonatioN FocusMe won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 1 WinnerDetonatioN FocusMe won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 WinnerDetonatioN FocusMe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.