Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64b47fe0822c1758e92cdefe6450c96c896f8d2f906109f65756fbf2ec3dbed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 61c | 9,069$5,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.93 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 40c | 6,400$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.18 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 2,364$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.71 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Over | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 60c | 1,091$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.23 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 60c | 444$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 60c | 244.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 60c | 184$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 72c | 160$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 63c | 157.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 38c | 65.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d7…5487backed Over | 39c | 32.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 38c | 27.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…1148backed Under | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-0.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.