La Liga · resolved market
Will Córdoba CF win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64c6350f077ff7beaf71c0cbaddee8a38f351be0b42ac6538852c210e222f054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,800 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 57c | 39,686$22,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,620.99 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 3,568$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.61 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 3,243$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.17 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 42c | 992.96$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.92 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 440.65$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.39 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176d…d17fbacked Yes | 23c | 435.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 32c | 314.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.34 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 44c | 293.18$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.18 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 78c | 144.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…428ebacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 29c | 93.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…49babacked Yes | 51c | 58.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 36c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 64c | 40.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…d6a4backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will CD Mirandés vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.